Nantwich Town vs Chester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.1%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
62.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.4%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantwich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
STA
3 - 2
NAN
30%
26%
44%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
2 - 2
BOO
55%
24%
22%
|
44 | 38 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 1
NEW
72%
18%
10%
|
44 | 29 | 15 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2023 |
TRA
2 - 1
NAN
13%
22%
65%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
NAN
0 - 0
STR
47%
24%
29%
|
44 | 42 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Chester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
YOR
2 - 1
CHE
26%
24%
50%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
DAR
3 - 2
CHE
17%
24%
59%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
CHE
0 - 0
YOR
61%
21%
18%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
CUR
0 - 1
CHE
35%
27%
38%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2023 |
SOU
0 - 2
CHE
17%
24%
59%
|
55 | 39 | 16 | 0 |