Nantwich Town vs Chasetown analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.4%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.2%
21.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantwich Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
BRA
3 - 1
NAN
51%
23%
26%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2012 |
NAN
2 - 2
HED
29%
25%
46%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
NAN
1 - 1
MIC
64%
19%
17%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CHE
1 - 1
NAN
70%
18%
13%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
NAN
2 - 0
RFC
51%
23%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Chasetown
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 3
UNM
25%
24%
50%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2012 |
WHI
2 - 0
CHA
24%
23%
53%
|
39 | 26 | 13 | -2 |
| 02 Jan. 2012 |
CHA
0 - 2
RUS
53%
24%
24%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2011 |
HED
0 - 1
CHA
66%
19%
15%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
CHA
4 - 1
BUR
77%
15%
8%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |