Haimen Codion vs Hunan Billows FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
14.7%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+12%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
10º
9º
37
3º
7º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 17 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 16 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
37 | 15 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
1º
|
56 | 15 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 13 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 12 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 12 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 11 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 11 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 10 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 23% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 77% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haimen Codion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 3
GGZ
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
NHC
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 0
NHC
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
NHC
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 2
SHA
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
Matches
Hunan Billows FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
HBF
3 - 1
SHA
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHU
1 - 1
HBF
27%
22%
51%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 0
HFC
68%
17%
15%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HBF
0 - 3
SHE
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 1
HBF
24%
22%
54%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |