Haimen Codion vs Guangxi Hengchen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.7%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.9%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.6%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
12%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
+150%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
10º
10º
10º
43
1º
7º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
53 | 22 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 19 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 18 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 16 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
51 | 15 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
1º
|
62 | 14 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
43 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 11 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
38 | 9 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
38 | 3 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haimen Codion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Sep. 2024 |
SHE
2 - 1
NHC
17%
21%
62%
|
56 | 29 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 1
HBF
64%
22%
15%
|
56 | 40 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 3
GGZ
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 31 | 25 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
NHC
16%
21%
63%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 0
NHC
18%
22%
61%
|
57 | 33 | 24 | -1 |
Matches
Guangxi Hengchen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GGZ
1 - 3
GUA
48%
22%
30%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 2
SHU
61%
19%
20%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GUA
1 - 0
LAN
66%
18%
16%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
HFC
1 - 0
GUA
33%
23%
44%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 0
NHC
18%
22%
61%
|
33 | 57 | 24 | +2 |