Haimen Codion vs Guangdong GZ-Power analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.4%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.6%
11%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
+344%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
9º
10º
9º
56
1º
8º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
43 | 17 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
4º
|
40 | 16 |
2º
|
20.5% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 15 |
3º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
1º
|
56 | 15 |
4º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 13 |
5º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 12 |
6º
|
10.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 12 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
38 | 11 |
8º
|
15.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
36 | 11 |
9º
|
15% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 10 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0.5% | 31% |
|
Mid-table
|
99.5% | 69% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Haimen Codion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 0
NHC
16%
21%
63%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
GUA
5 - 0
NHC
18%
22%
61%
|
55 | 31 | 24 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
BIT
1 - 2
NHC
18%
22%
60%
|
55 | 33 | 22 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
NHC
1 - 2
SHA
75%
16%
9%
|
55 | 18 | 37 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2024 |
HFC
3 - 0
NHC
15%
21%
64%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Guangdong GZ-Power
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
GGZ
0 - 0
LAN
62%
19%
19%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
GGZ
28%
22%
50%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
GGZ
8 - 1
QYF
52%
22%
27%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | +2 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
JIA
0 - 1
GGZ
50%
22%
28%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
GGZ
2 - 1
SSP
33%
23%
45%
|
25 | 33 | 8 | +2 |