UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 5-3
Nantes vs FC Wil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 0
MAR
48%
26%
26%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2003 |
TRO
2 - 0
NAN
33%
28%
39%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2003 |
NAN
0 - 4
GUI
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2003 |
MPL
1 - 0
NAN
32%
28%
41%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2003 |
NAN
1 - 1
PSG
47%
27%
26%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
FC Wil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2003 |
SER
3 - 1
WIL
62%
21%
17%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
3 - 1
WIL
60%
21%
19%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 1
WIL
53%
23%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jun. 2003 |
WIL
2 - 0
DIN
65%
20%
16%
|
75 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Jun. 2003 |
DIN
1 - 0
WIL
32%
26%
43%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | -1 |