Nantes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.7%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.7%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 1976 |
ASS
2 - 0
NAN
58%
23%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 1
NAN
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
NAN
4 - 0
STL
72%
18%
10%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
NIC
1 - 2
NAN
51%
24%
25%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
NAN
2 - 0
GIR
63%
21%
16%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 1976 |
VAL
1 - 2
STL
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 1976 |
PSG
1 - 2
VAL
64%
21%
15%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Nov. 1976 |
VAL
3 - 2
GIR
44%
27%
28%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 1976 |
LEN
1 - 0
VAL
69%
19%
13%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1976 |
VAL
5 - 0
REI
38%
28%
34%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | +1 |