Nantes vs Valenciennes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.2%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.4%
4-0
6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.9%
8.9%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
REN
0 - 0
NAN
41%
26%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
NAN
1 - 2
MAR
46%
25%
29%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
NAN
2 - 1
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
PFC
1 - 2
NAN
27%
27%
46%
|
80 | 60 | 20 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
NAN
3 - 1
RED
76%
16%
8%
|
80 | 64 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Valenciennes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 1973 |
VAL
1 - 2
LYO
38%
29%
33%
|
67 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1973 |
BAS
2 - 0
VAL
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 1973 |
VAL
5 - 1
SED
41%
28%
31%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1973 |
ASN
1 - 1
VAL
64%
22%
14%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 1972 |
VAL
1 - 1
NIC
32%
28%
40%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |