Cup Winners Cup Semi-finals
Global 2-5
Nantes vs Valencia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.6%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
20.9%
13.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1980 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
30%
28%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
NAN
1 - 0
LIL
78%
15%
8%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1980 |
ASN
0 - 2
NAN
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
NAN
2 - 3
DIN
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1980 |
NAN
4 - 1
NÎM
76%
16%
8%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Valencia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 1980 |
VCF
2 - 0
ATH
61%
22%
17%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1980 |
UDL
2 - 1
VCF
48%
26%
26%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 1980 |
VCF
2 - 1
ATM
57%
23%
21%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1980 |
VCF
4 - 3
FCB
56%
24%
20%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1980 |
SEV
2 - 1
VCF
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |