Nantes vs Troyes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.3%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
14.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
14%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
8.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
ASN
1 - 0
NAN
41%
26%
33%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1973 |
NAN
0 - 1
VEJ
82%
11%
7%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1973 |
NAN
3 - 0
STR
71%
18%
10%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
GIR
2 - 1
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 1973 |
VEJ
2 - 2
NAN
22%
21%
56%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Troyes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1973 |
TRO
4 - 1
PFC
50%
23%
27%
|
60 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1973 |
MON
1 - 1
TRO
65%
22%
14%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1973 |
TRO
2 - 1
MAR
27%
26%
47%
|
59 | 82 | 23 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 1973 |
BAS
1 - 0
TRO
73%
18%
9%
|
59 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1973 |
TRO
2 - 0
MET
50%
27%
23%
|
58 | 71 | 13 | +1 |