Nantes vs Stade de Reims analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
39.7%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
7
3º
16º
16º
7
6º
15º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 80 |
1º
|
82.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 68 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 64 |
3º
|
17.5% | |
|
7º
|
6 | 58 |
4º
|
17% | |
|
8º
|
6 | 58 |
5º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
8 | 57 |
6º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 56 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
12º
|
4 | 47 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 45 |
9º
|
14.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
7 | 44 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
10º
|
5 | 42 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
14º
|
3 | 41 |
12º
|
11% | |
|
18º
|
1 | 38 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
15º
|
3 | 34 |
14º
|
12% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 33 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
|
5º
|
7 | 32 |
16º
|
16% | |
|
16º
|
3 | 31 |
17º
|
18% | |
|
17º
|
1 | 25 |
18º
|
52.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 1.5% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 2.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 5.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
61.5% | 83.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
16% | 3.5% |
|
Relegation
|
22.5% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
MPL
1 - 3
NAN
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 0
AUX
32%
26%
43%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
TFC
0 - 0
NAN
64%
21%
15%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
CRY
1 - 1
NAN
74%
17%
9%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
LOR
42%
25%
34%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Stade de Reims
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
REI
2 - 1
REN
24%
24%
52%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 2
REI
66%
21%
14%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
REI
0 - 2
LIL
27%
27%
46%
|
83 | 90 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
REI
2 - 2
AUX
45%
25%
30%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
VIS
1 - 0
REI
47%
25%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |