Nantes vs Stade Brestois analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.1%
Win probability
2.98
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.4%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7%
4-0
8.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
5.2%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
11.2%
5.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
1.8%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.3%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1979 |
STR
2 - 2
NAN
43%
26%
30%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1979 |
NAN
0 - 0
MON
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1979 |
LEN
1 - 3
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 1979 |
STL
0 - 2
NAN
26%
27%
47%
|
85 | 67 | 18 | 0 |
| 01 Jun. 1979 |
STL
0 - 5
NAN
28%
28%
45%
|
85 | 69 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Stade Brestois
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 2
MON
28%
26%
47%
|
66 | 79 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 1979 |
STL
3 - 0
BRE
55%
24%
21%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 1979 |
BRE
1 - 2
SOC
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 1979 |
MAR
3 - 0
BRE
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |