Nantes vs Sporting Toulon Var analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
2.37
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.7%
13.6%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
LYO
1 - 1
NAN
56%
21%
23%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
NAN
2 - 2
SED
52%
21%
27%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
SOC
1 - 1
NAN
56%
20%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
NAN
2 - 3
REN
62%
18%
20%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
VAL
2 - 1
NAN
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Sporting Toulon Var
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 1964 |
SPO
1 - 3
ASS
33%
26%
41%
|
65 | 78 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1964 |
MON
1 - 0
SPO
78%
13%
9%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1964 |
LEN
2 - 1
SPO
65%
18%
17%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 Nov. 1964 |
SPO
0 - 1
SOC
45%
25%
31%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1964 |
SED
3 - 2
SPO
64%
19%
17%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |