Champions League Quarter-finals
Global 4-2
Nantes vs Spartak Moskva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
27.9%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1996 |
MON
4 - 1
NAN
47%
26%
27%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 1996 |
NAN
1 - 0
FCG
79%
16%
6%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1996 |
LEN
2 - 1
NAN
38%
27%
35%
|
86 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1996 |
GUI
3 - 1
NAN
28%
25%
47%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1996 |
NAN
3 - 1
BAS
68%
20%
12%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spartak Moskva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
WAR
0 - 1
SPA
34%
26%
40%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 1995 |
SPA
3 - 0
BBU
60%
23%
17%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 1995 |
SPA
2 - 0
ANG
96%
3%
1%
|
85 | 42 | 43 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1995 |
SPA
4 - 1
RBK
50%
23%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1995 |
SPA
4 - 2
TKA
77%
16%
7%
|
85 | 71 | 14 | 0 |