Nantes vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
27.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
SED
1 - 1
NAN
40%
28%
32%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
NAN
1 - 0
MON
37%
28%
35%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ASN
1 - 0
NAN
45%
28%
27%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
NAN
0 - 2
SOC
43%
27%
30%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2006 |
AUX
1 - 0
NAN
62%
22%
16%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
ASS
3 - 0
TFC
49%
27%
25%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
TRO
3 - 1
ASS
38%
27%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
ASS
4 - 1
MAR
33%
29%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 0
LMU
45%
27%
28%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
LYO
2 - 1
ASS
75%
17%
9%
|
81 | 91 | 10 | 0 |