Nantes vs Saint-Étienne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.8%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.3%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAN
42%
25%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
SOC
1 - 2
NAN
43%
25%
32%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
NAN
2 - 0
MON
70%
19%
11%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
MET
1 - 0
NAN
39%
25%
36%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1968 |
NAN
0 - 1
RED
77%
16%
7%
|
80 | 66 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Saint-Étienne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 1969 |
ASS
4 - 2
SED
75%
15%
10%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1969 |
MON
1 - 2
ASS
24%
27%
48%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 1968 |
ASS
3 - 2
GIR
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1968 |
REN
0 - 2
ASS
34%
27%
40%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1968 |
ASS
2 - 0
AJA
80%
12%
8%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |