Nantes vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.1%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
3.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.7%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
16%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
15.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
15.7%
7.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
GIR
1 - 1
NAN
54%
23%
24%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
NAN
3 - 0
BAS
67%
17%
16%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
STR
1 - 0
NAN
36%
26%
39%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1968 |
NAN
0 - 1
FCR
62%
21%
17%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1968 |
REN
2 - 1
NAN
40%
25%
35%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Nov. 1968 |
RED
2 - 2
SOC
40%
27%
34%
|
66 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1968 |
SED
0 - 0
RED
65%
22%
13%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 1968 |
RED
0 - 0
ASS
29%
25%
46%
|
65 | 86 | 21 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 1968 |
MON
1 - 1
RED
61%
24%
16%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1968 |
RED
1 - 2
GIR
34%
27%
40%
|
65 | 80 | 15 | 0 |