Nantes vs Red Star analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.5%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.7%
5-0
4.9%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.4%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
6.4%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.7%
11%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11%
6.5%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
ASS
0 - 3
NAN
55%
21%
24%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1965 |
NAN
2 - 2
PAR
62%
19%
19%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1965 |
NAN
3 - 1
LIL
72%
16%
13%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
FCR
0 - 0
NAN
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
NAN
2 - 1
NIC
79%
12%
9%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Red Star
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct. 1965 |
RED
1 - 1
TFC
39%
26%
35%
|
66 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1965 |
SFP
1 - 1
RED
62%
21%
16%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 1965 |
RED
3 - 2
CAN
51%
25%
25%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1965 |
MON
2 - 1
RED
74%
17%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1965 |
RED
2 - 2
LYO
36%
26%
37%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |