Nantes vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.8%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.3%
22%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.7%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.2%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.6%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
17º
15º
40
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 85 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 63 |
3º
|
33% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 59 |
4º
|
25.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 58 |
5º
|
26.5% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 54 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 54 |
7º
|
29% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 49 |
8º
|
34.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
9º
|
24% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
19% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
19% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
21% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20.5% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
24% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
81% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 80% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 11% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 7% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 2% |
|
Mid-table
|
57.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
24% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
18.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
STR
3 - 1
NAN
60%
23%
18%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
NAN
1 - 1
NIC
24%
25%
50%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 0
NAN
75%
16%
9%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
NAN
2 - 2
ASS
40%
26%
34%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ANG
1 - 1
NAN
38%
28%
34%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
0 - 3
PSG
28%
23%
50%
|
91 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
MPL
0 - 5
MAR
24%
23%
52%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
MAR
1 - 1
ANG
77%
16%
7%
|
91 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
STR
1 - 0
MAR
24%
24%
52%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LYO
2 - 3
MAR
40%
24%
36%
|
90 | 88 | 2 | +1 |