Nantes vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.4%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.4%
2-0
13.7%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.8%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
17.6%
9.8%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.3%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 1986 |
STL
0 - 0
NAN
28%
28%
44%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
5 - 1
LIL
71%
18%
10%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1985 |
TFC
4 - 2
NAN
29%
29%
42%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 1
SPA
59%
21%
20%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1985 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
65%
21%
15%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 1986 |
MAR
1 - 2
SOC
50%
25%
24%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 1985 |
ASN
0 - 2
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
MAR
0 - 0
PSG
35%
26%
40%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
LEN
2 - 1
MAR
74%
17%
10%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 1985 |
MAR
3 - 0
BRE
60%
22%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | +1 |