Nantes vs Olympique Lyonnais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
61.5%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.7%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.9%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
21
3º
17º
15º
30
5º
17º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
50 | 83 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
40 | 67 |
2º
|
54% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 64 |
3º
|
36.5% | |
|
4º
|
35 | 62 |
4º
|
24% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 55 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 55 |
6º
|
21.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
30 | 54 |
7º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
28 | 47 |
8º
|
25% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
30% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 44 |
10º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 42 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
20.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 37 |
13º
|
15.5% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 35 |
14º
|
17.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
21 | 33 |
15º
|
20.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 30 |
16º
|
20% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 30 |
17º
|
25.5% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 23 |
18º
|
73% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 15% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 24.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
70% | 39.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
18% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
12% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ASS
1 - 1
NAN
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
NAN
64%
21%
15%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2025 |
NAN
2 - 2
MON
12%
19%
70%
|
80 | 92 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LIL
1 - 1
NAN
79%
15%
6%
|
80 | 93 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2024 |
DRA
0 - 4
NAN
4%
14%
83%
|
80 | 32 | 48 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Lyonnais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2025 |
FEN
0 - 0
LYO
32%
23%
46%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2025 |
LYO
0 - 0
TFC
62%
21%
17%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2025 |
BOU
2 - 2
LYO
8%
16%
75%
|
90 | 46 | 44 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2025 |
BRE
2 - 1
LYO
26%
24%
49%
|
91 | 87 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 2025 |
LYO
1 - 0
MPL
72%
17%
11%
|
90 | 82 | 8 | +1 |