Nantes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
37.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 0
LOR
34%
27%
39%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 2
NIC
36%
27%
37%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
ASS
2 - 0
NAN
65%
21%
14%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 0
AUX
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 2
TFC
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
REN
0 - 0
NIC
42%
26%
32%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 2
NIC
36%
27%
37%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 1
ETG
46%
27%
27%
|
82 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
3 - 0
SOC
56%
24%
21%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NIC
1 - 0
SOC
52%
25%
23%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |