Nantes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
19.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2004 |
MAR
3 - 1
NAN
47%
27%
27%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
NAN
0 - 1
GIR
46%
27%
28%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
LYO
2 - 0
NAN
65%
21%
14%
|
86 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2004 |
NAN
2 - 1
STL
75%
17%
8%
|
86 | 67 | 19 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2004 |
NAN
1 - 1
AUX
43%
28%
29%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
PSG
28%
30%
42%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2004 |
CAE
0 - 0
NIC
43%
27%
31%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
36%
29%
35%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2004 |
NIC
1 - 1
LEN
38%
30%
32%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2004 |
ASS
2 - 1
NIC
41%
27%
32%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |