Nantes vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.2%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.2%
16.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
FCR
0 - 0
NAN
26%
29%
45%
|
84 | 63 | 21 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
NAN
2 - 0
LYO
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
VAL
0 - 2
NAN
31%
29%
40%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NAN
1 - 0
MAR
60%
22%
18%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
STR
1 - 0
NAN
44%
26%
29%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1978 |
LYO
1 - 1
NIC
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1978 |
NIC
6 - 1
FCR
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1978 |
BAS
4 - 1
NIC
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Apr. 1978 |
NIC
0 - 2
VAL
75%
16%
10%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 1978 |
ASN
1 - 1
NIC
59%
22%
20%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |