Nantes vs Metz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.3%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.8%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
VAN
1 - 0
NAN
33%
29%
38%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
NAN
1 - 1
STL
54%
26%
21%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2011 |
LIL
1 - 1
NAN
79%
15%
7%
|
68 | 88 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
ETG
3 - 0
NAN
56%
25%
19%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
NAN
2 - 1
RAO
78%
15%
7%
|
69 | 43 | 26 | 0 |
Matches
Metz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 2011 |
MET
2 - 2
AJA
45%
28%
27%
|
70 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2011 |
VAN
1 - 2
MET
31%
29%
41%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2011 |
LOR
3 - 0
MET
67%
20%
13%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
TRO
2 - 1
MET
46%
27%
28%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2011 |
SED
0 - 1
MET
52%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | +1 |