Europa League 1/32
Global 3-5
Nantes vs Lokeren analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.1%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.6%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
13.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
20.4%
12.5%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 1981 |
STL
1 - 1
NAN
26%
28%
47%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 1981 |
NAN
3 - 1
MON
65%
20%
15%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1981 |
MET
0 - 0
NAN
26%
27%
46%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1981 |
NAN
1 - 2
LIL
76%
15%
9%
|
87 | 70 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 1
NAN
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 63 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Lokeren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1981 |
CER
0 - 2
LOK
36%
27%
37%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
1 - 0
ANT
75%
16%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 1981 |
KVM
1 - 2
LOK
28%
29%
43%
|
83 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 1981 |
LOK
1 - 1
KSV
74%
17%
9%
|
83 | 70 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 May. 1981 |
LOK
2 - 0
SDL
37%
25%
38%
|
82 | 87 | 5 | +1 |