Nantes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.5%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.3%
10.7%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
OLY
1 - 7
NAN
7%
16%
77%
|
87 | 31 | 56 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
NIC
1 - 0
NAN
29%
27%
44%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
NAN
2 - 3
GUI
84%
11%
5%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
PSG
2 - 2
NAN
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
NAN
2 - 0
GIR
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 1996 |
SAL
0 - 1
LIL
12%
22%
66%
|
75 | 22 | 53 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 1996 |
LIL
0 - 2
CAN
31%
28%
41%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1996 |
MET
2 - 0
LIL
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIL
52%
27%
22%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
LIL
4 - 1
CAE
44%
26%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |