Nantes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.4%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.1%
4-0
6.6%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
15.4%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.2%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
MET
0 - 4
NAN
29%
28%
44%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
NAN
3 - 0
TFC
78%
14%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
STR
2 - 0
NAN
28%
28%
44%
|
87 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
NAN
0 - 0
STL
72%
17%
11%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 1983 |
LYO
1 - 2
NAN
33%
27%
40%
|
87 | 71 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 1983 |
LIL
2 - 0
ASN
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 1983 |
ASS
1 - 0
LIL
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1983 |
LIL
1 - 1
MON
38%
29%
34%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1983 |
TOU
5 - 0
LIL
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 1983 |
LIL
5 - 0
FCR
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |