Nantes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
6.5%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.3%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
15%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
8.6%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
TOU
1 - 1
NAN
14%
20%
66%
|
87 | 64 | 23 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
NAN
2 - 0
STR
72%
18%
11%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
MPL
2 - 0
NAN
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
NAN
1 - 0
BAS
77%
15%
8%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
GIR
3 - 2
NAN
34%
27%
39%
|
88 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 1981 |
LIL
5 - 0
NIC
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 1981 |
VAL
4 - 0
LIL
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 2
ASN
47%
25%
27%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jul. 1981 |
AUX
1 - 2
LIL
58%
23%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 1981 |
LIL
1 - 1
BRE
70%
19%
12%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |