Nantes vs Lille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
17.9%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.9%
12.8%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1968 |
ANG
1 - 3
NAN
36%
25%
38%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1968 |
NAN
1 - 0
AJA
76%
14%
10%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 1968 |
LYO
0 - 3
NAN
35%
26%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1968 |
NAN
1 - 1
SOC
65%
20%
14%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1968 |
ASA
2 - 6
NAN
34%
22%
44%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Lille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1968 |
LIL
0 - 2
NIC
43%
26%
31%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1968 |
RED
0 - 2
LIL
50%
24%
26%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 1968 |
LIL
0 - 3
VAL
40%
28%
33%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 1968 |
MET
1 - 0
LIL
50%
25%
26%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1968 |
LIL
0 - 0
STR
49%
27%
24%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |