Nantes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.9%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
24.6%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
ATL
1 - 0
NAN
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2014 |
LUC
0 - 0
NAN
23%
25%
52%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
NAN
0 - 2
LOR
39%
27%
35%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2014 |
GIR
1 - 1
NAN
59%
24%
17%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
NAN
1 - 0
BRE
61%
23%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jul. 2014 |
CAE
4 - 2
LEN
47%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2014 |
USB
2 - 1
LEN
21%
23%
57%
|
71 | 57 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2014 |
CAB
0 - 2
LEN
18%
23%
58%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2014 |
LEN
0 - 1
BRE
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2014 |
IST
1 - 6
LEN
25%
26%
50%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |