Nantes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.9%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
27.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.6%
28.7%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
ASS
0 - 2
NAN
22%
25%
53%
|
86 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
NAN
1 - 0
LHA
61%
24%
15%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 1999 |
GIR
0 - 1
NAN
58%
22%
20%
|
85 | 88 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
NAN
0 - 1
MAR
39%
28%
34%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
37%
27%
36%
|
86 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Aug. 1999 |
LEN
1 - 0
MON
41%
26%
33%
|
86 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 1999 |
STR
1 - 0
LEN
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 May. 1999 |
LEN
3 - 1
TFC
73%
18%
9%
|
86 | 73 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 May. 1999 |
STR
1 - 1
LEN
38%
27%
34%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1999 |
LEN
1 - 0
MET
56%
24%
20%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | +1 |