Nantes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.3%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1984 |
MET
1 - 1
NAN
36%
28%
37%
|
86 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1984 |
NAN
2 - 1
AUX
64%
21%
15%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1984 |
TOU
0 - 1
NAN
34%
28%
39%
|
86 | 70 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 1984 |
NAN
3 - 0
BAS
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 1984 |
GIR
2 - 1
NAN
55%
24%
21%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1984 |
LEN
3 - 0
SPO
71%
17%
12%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1984 |
LIL
2 - 0
LEN
45%
27%
29%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 1984 |
LEN
3 - 0
ASN
62%
21%
17%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1984 |
TFC
1 - 0
LEN
54%
21%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1984 |
LEN
2 - 2
MON
47%
25%
27%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |