Nantes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
15.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1977 |
TRO
1 - 0
NAN
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 65 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
NAN
3 - 1
NÎM
72%
18%
10%
|
83 | 72 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 1977 |
MET
2 - 2
NAN
48%
25%
28%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1977 |
NIC
1 - 0
NAN
49%
24%
27%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
NAN
3 - 2
MET
62%
21%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 1977 |
LEN
3 - 2
MAR
65%
20%
15%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1977 |
LYO
2 - 0
LEN
56%
23%
21%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Aug. 1977 |
LEN
2 - 2
STR
71%
18%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 1977 |
REI
0 - 0
LEN
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 1977 |
LEN
1 - 0
MAR
65%
20%
16%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |