Nantes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
18.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
MAR
2 - 1
NAN
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
NAN
4 - 1
TRO
68%
20%
12%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
NAN
3 - 1
LYO
57%
24%
19%
|
80 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1975 |
LIL
3 - 0
NAN
37%
28%
35%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1975 |
LEN
3 - 0
NÎM
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1975 |
MON
3 - 0
LEN
56%
23%
20%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 1975 |
LEN
1 - 0
TRO
65%
21%
14%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1975 |
GIR
2 - 0
LEN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1975 |
MAR
4 - 0
LEN
64%
20%
16%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |