Nantes vs Lens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.8%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
SFP
4 - 0
NAN
48%
23%
29%
|
75 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
NAN
0 - 0
REI
33%
22%
45%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1963 |
NÎM
3 - 0
NAN
59%
20%
22%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
NAN
1 - 0
ANG
63%
18%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1963 |
NAN
3 - 1
LYO
57%
20%
24%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Lens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 1963 |
LEN
5 - 0
REN
52%
23%
25%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1963 |
ASS
1 - 0
LEN
60%
20%
19%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 1963 |
LEN
2 - 1
NIC
50%
22%
28%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1963 |
FCR
3 - 0
LEN
57%
22%
22%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 1963 |
GIR
1 - 1
LEN
64%
19%
18%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |