Europa League 1/32
Global 3-2
Nantes vs Legia Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
17.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 1974 |
MET
4 - 0
NAN
39%
26%
35%
|
81 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1974 |
NAN
1 - 0
SOC
60%
22%
18%
|
81 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1974 |
STR
2 - 0
NAN
41%
26%
33%
|
82 | 73 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 1974 |
NAN
2 - 1
ASS
40%
26%
34%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Aug. 1974 |
RED
4 - 4
NAN
34%
27%
39%
|
82 | 65 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Legia Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 1974 |
SLA
0 - 0
WAR
39%
28%
33%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1974 |
WAR
0 - 1
ENE
66%
21%
13%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1974 |
GKS
2 - 1
WAR
33%
30%
37%
|
78 | 59 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 1974 |
WAR
3 - 1
SZO
60%
24%
17%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 1974 |
POG
1 - 0
WAR
50%
27%
23%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |