Europa League 1/64
Global 4-1
Nantes vs Ionikos Nikea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.3%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
15.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
16.5%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1999 |
MET
2 - 1
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 1999 |
NAN
3 - 0
REN
55%
25%
20%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
ION
1 - 3
NAN
35%
27%
37%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1999 |
TRO
1 - 0
NAN
24%
27%
49%
|
86 | 71 | 15 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1999 |
NAN
3 - 0
MPL
44%
27%
30%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Ionikos Nikea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 1999 |
ION
2 - 0
PRO
73%
18%
10%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1999 |
PAN
1 - 1
ION
31%
28%
41%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 1999 |
ION
1 - 3
NAN
35%
27%
37%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
ETH
1 - 1
ION
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 64 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
ION
2 - 0
PRO
70%
19%
11%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |