Nantes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
26.5%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
NAN
1 - 1
MAR
42%
27%
32%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 2
NAN
26%
27%
47%
|
79 | 63 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
NAN
0 - 0
BOU
40%
26%
35%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2015 |
NAN
4 - 1
LOR
40%
27%
34%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
GNK
1 - 0
NAN
50%
26%
24%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
REI
2 - 0
GUI
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2015 |
GIR
1 - 1
GUI
60%
23%
17%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 0
AVR
75%
18%
8%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 1
GUI
59%
24%
17%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
GUI
2 - 1
TFC
43%
27%
30%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |