Nantes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
33.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
9.3%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
ARL
0 - 0
NAN
41%
28%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
NAN
1 - 0
CHA
49%
24%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
NAN
0 - 2
BAS
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 70 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
SED
2 - 0
NAN
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
REI
0 - 1
NAN
59%
22%
19%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
0 - 1
MET
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
VAN
64%
20%
16%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2011 |
CLE
0 - 1
GUI
45%
27%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Jul. 2011 |
GUI
1 - 1
CHA
69%
19%
13%
|
72 | 62 | 10 | -2 |
| 22 Jul. 2011 |
GUI
2 - 0
STL
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |