Nantes vs Guingamp analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.8%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.9%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
9%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.1%
3-0
12.9%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
11.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.4%
4.8%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 1996 |
PSG
2 - 2
NAN
60%
23%
17%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
NAN
2 - 0
GIR
57%
24%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1995 |
MPL
0 - 1
NAN
37%
28%
35%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
PSG
5 - 0
NAN
58%
23%
18%
|
87 | 91 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 1995 |
NAN
0 - 0
PAN
61%
22%
17%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Guingamp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 1
LIL
52%
27%
22%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1995 |
GUI
2 - 1
PSG
14%
23%
63%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Dec. 1995 |
NIC
2 - 1
GUI
56%
25%
19%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1995 |
GUI
0 - 0
PSG
17%
23%
60%
|
76 | 90 | 14 | +1 |
| 25 Nov. 1995 |
AUX
1 - 2
GUI
79%
14%
8%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | +1 |