Europa League Last 16
Global 3-4
Nantes vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
28.1%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 0
STR
66%
20%
14%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 1
NAN
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2001 |
GIR
0 - 1
NAN
49%
25%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2001 |
LIL
1 - 1
NAN
30%
26%
44%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
NAN
1 - 0
PSG
54%
23%
23%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 1
CAM
83%
12%
5%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2001 |
FCP
3 - 1
NAN
52%
24%
24%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2001 |
BRA
1 - 2
FCP
10%
20%
71%
|
87 | 41 | 46 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2001 |
PAÇ
1 - 0
FCP
22%
25%
53%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | -1 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
SCP
0 - 0
FCP
30%
25%
44%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | +1 |