Nantes vs Cognac analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
80.1%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.2%
2-0
15.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.9%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2010 |
LHA
0 - 1
NAN
53%
26%
22%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2010 |
NAN
0 - 0
SED
42%
27%
32%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2010 |
IST
2 - 1
NAN
35%
30%
35%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2010 |
NAN
2 - 0
CLE
48%
25%
26%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 12 Nov. 2010 |
ANG
1 - 1
NAN
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Cognac
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
VIE
1 - 0
COG
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2010 |
COG
2 - 1
CHO
35%
24%
41%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +2 |
| 06 Nov. 2010 |
COG
2 - 1
ASC
63%
20%
17%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
SAB
2 - 1
COG
45%
24%
32%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
COG
1 - 2
BOU
44%
24%
32%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |