Cup Winners Cup Last 16
Global 2-7
Nantes vs Cardiff City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.2%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
NAN
3 - 0
REI
56%
24%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1970 |
BAS
1 - 0
NAN
42%
25%
32%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
5 - 1
NAN
47%
21%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 1970 |
NAN
0 - 0
MET
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 1970 |
LYO
2 - 0
NAN
41%
24%
34%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Cardiff City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
5 - 1
HUL
59%
22%
20%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
1 - 0
OPA
67%
19%
14%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 1970 |
CUM
1 - 1
CAR
42%
27%
32%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
5 - 1
NAN
47%
21%
32%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Oct. 1970 |
CAR
2 - 2
LEI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |