Nantes vs Caen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.2%
14.9%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
CAN
1 - 2
NAN
42%
24%
34%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
NIC
1 - 0
NAN
43%
27%
30%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
NAN
1 - 0
MET
53%
26%
21%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1988 |
GIR
5 - 0
NAN
63%
22%
15%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
NAN
3 - 1
LEN
66%
21%
14%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Caen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 1988 |
CAE
3 - 0
GIR
28%
26%
46%
|
68 | 85 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 1988 |
LEN
5 - 0
CAE
50%
26%
25%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 1988 |
CAE
1 - 1
STL
54%
25%
21%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1988 |
MAR
4 - 2
CAE
75%
16%
9%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 1988 |
CAE
1 - 1
RAC
49%
26%
25%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |