Nantes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.3%
16.9%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
ASS
2 - 1
NAN
55%
24%
21%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
DUK
1 - 1
NAN
54%
22%
24%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
NAN
2 - 0
SOC
72%
17%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1977 |
STL
1 - 1
NAN
24%
23%
53%
|
83 | 67 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1977 |
NAN
2 - 0
LEN
65%
19%
15%
|
83 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 0
VAL
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
3 - 2
SCP
33%
26%
42%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 1977 |
MAR
2 - 0
BAS
50%
25%
26%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 1977 |
BAS
2 - 1
LYO
61%
22%
17%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 1977 |
STR
1 - 1
BAS
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |