Nantes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
15.7%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
ASS
2 - 1
NAN
67%
19%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
NAN
1 - 1
RED
71%
19%
10%
|
79 | 65 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
ASN
1 - 0
NAN
37%
26%
37%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
NAN
2 - 1
LIL
73%
17%
10%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1971 |
AJA
4 - 2
NAN
36%
26%
38%
|
80 | 71 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Jan. 1972 |
BAS
1 - 0
NÎM
45%
26%
29%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 0
ASS
33%
24%
43%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 1971 |
NIC
0 - 1
BAS
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 1
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
68 | 83 | 15 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1971 |
BAS
2 - 0
RED
64%
21%
15%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |