Nantes vs Bastia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.7%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.7%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
14.2%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
REI
0 - 0
NAN
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
MET
0 - 0
NAN
47%
25%
28%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
NAN
1 - 1
LYO
65%
20%
15%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 1971 |
MAR
2 - 2
NAN
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 1971 |
NAN
2 - 0
VAL
70%
18%
11%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bastia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1971 |
BAS
3 - 1
ANG
58%
23%
19%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1971 |
BAS
4 - 0
SED
41%
27%
33%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 1971 |
ASN
3 - 0
BAS
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 1971 |
BAS
1 - 4
AJA
58%
23%
20%
|
66 | 69 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 1971 |
STR
2 - 2
BAS
63%
21%
17%
|
65 | 72 | 7 | +1 |