Nantes vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
NAN
1 - 2
TFC
38%
28%
33%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 1
NAN
66%
21%
14%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2013 |
NAN
2 - 1
VAL
41%
27%
32%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
GUI
1 - 0
NAN
50%
25%
25%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
NAN
0 - 1
MON
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2013 |
AUX
2 - 0
NIO
65%
22%
13%
|
73 | 63 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2013 |
MET
3 - 0
AUX
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 70 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
AUX
3 - 2
CAE
45%
26%
28%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
CLE
1 - 1
AUX
27%
28%
45%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
AUX
4 - 0
TOU
53%
26%
22%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |