Nantes vs Auxerre analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.1%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.5%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nantes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
BRE
1 - 2
NAN
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 66 | 20 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
NAN
4 - 0
LEN
77%
15%
8%
|
86 | 72 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1981 |
LOK
4 - 2
NAN
47%
26%
28%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1981 |
ASS
1 - 0
NAN
53%
24%
22%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
NAN
1 - 1
SOC
70%
18%
12%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Auxerre
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 1981 |
SOC
5 - 0
AUX
71%
16%
13%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 1981 |
AUX
1 - 1
BRE
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1981 |
LEN
5 - 2
AUX
58%
23%
20%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 1981 |
AUX
1 - 0
PSG
43%
26%
31%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 1981 |
ASS
3 - 0
AUX
77%
14%
9%
|
73 | 86 | 13 | 0 |